ROCHESTER, Minn. ― Mayo Clinic data scientists have added a vaccination tracker to Mayo's COVID-19 Resource Center, with state-by-state data and trends, so users can follow the COVID-19 vaccine rollout in all 50 states, compare progress on one- and two-shot vaccinations, and receive Mayo Clinic guidance on what the trends mean for summer travel and keeping your family safe.

The COVID-19 Resource Center also has a Coronavirus Map tracking tool, with county-by-county data, trends and 14-day forecasts on COVID-19 cases, enabling users to see where COVID-19 cases are trending as they plan summer visits to family and friends.

Mayo Clinic experts recommend getting vaccinated for COVID-19 as soon as vaccine is available to you.

"In 2020, Mayo Clinic's predictive models correctly predicted the scope and severity of COVID-19. In 2021, our models show that if properly used, vaccinations will severely restrict the impact of COVID-19," says Sean Dowdy, M.D., Mayo Clinic's Midwest Quality chair. "They also show that if people do not become fully vaccinated, COVID-19 will continue to limit our health, activities and economy."

The Coronavirus Map tracking tool in Mayo Clinic's COVID-19 Resource Center uses predictive modeling that Mayo has used to anticipate and plan for COVID-19 cases, and assist public health agencies. The tool has data and trend information for all counties in every U.S. state, the District of Columbia and U.S. territories, and it is updated daily. The tracking tool is available in English and Spanish. Predictive modeling is not available for Alaska, Hawaii, and U.S. territories.

The COVID-19 Resource Center is one of the most visited websites for news and information on COVID-19 cases and trends, and it has exclusive Mayo Clinic content on COVID-19 treatments, therapies and vaccines, and guidance on how to keep your family safe.

Vaccination is keeping the current level of COVID-19 cases from becoming an emergency that overwhelms ICUs, and leads to more illness and death, according to a new study published in Mayo Clinic Proceedings. The study, "Quantifying the Importance of COVID-19 Vaccination to Our Future Outlook," reviews how increasing COVID-19 vaccination rates are crucial to the future course of the pandemic.

Mayo researchers estimate that a peak of more than 800 patients would be in hospital ICUs in Minnesota this spring, for example, if no COVID-19 vaccines had been developed. The projections take into account new COVID-19 variants, as well as current public health measures and masking standards.

"It is difficult to untangle how much of this elevated rate of spread right now is due to new variants as opposed to changes in social behavior, but regardless of the reason, the absence of vaccinations in the current environment would have been likely to result in by far the largest surge to date," the study says.

The Mayo Clinic study was led by Dr. Dowdy and Curtis Storlie, Ph.D., whose team developed the computer model for forecasting COVID-19's effects on hospital use that has guided Mayo's pandemic response.

The Coronavirus Map and predictive modeling are supported by the Mayo Clinic Robert D. and Patricia E. Kern Center for the Science of Health Care Delivery.

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About Mayo Clinic Proceedings
Mayo Clinic Proceedings is a monthly peer-reviewed journal that publishes original articles and reviews dealing with clinical and laboratory medicine, clinical research, basic science research, and clinical epidemiology. Mayo Clinic Proceedings is sponsored by the Mayo Foundation for Medical Education and Research as part of its commitment to physician education.

About Mayo Clinic
Mayo Clinic is a nonprofit organization committed to innovation in clinical practice, education and research, and providing compassion, expertise and answers to everyone who needs healing. Visit the Mayo Clinic News Network for additional Mayo Clinic news. For information on COVID-19, including Mayo Clinic's Coronavirus Map tracking tool, which has 14-day forecasting on COVID-19 trends, visit the Mayo Clinic COVID-19 Resource Center.

Media contact:

• Jay Furst, Mayo Clinic Public Affairs, newsbureau@mayo.edu

For more information and all your COVID-19 coverage, go to the Mayo Clinic News Network and mayoclinic.org.

Learn more about: Tracking COVID-19 and COVID-19 trends.

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